Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for KOPPU-15 in Philippines from 13 Oct 2015 00:00 UTC to 14 Oct 2015 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KOPPU-15

in Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KOPPU-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	290 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (18 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	2
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	13 Oct 2015 00:00	213	---	No people	Philippines
2	13 Oct 2015 06:00	231	---	2.2 million	Philippines
3	13 Oct 2015 12:00	222	---	2.3 million	Philippines
4	13 Oct 2015 18:00	222	---	2.4 million	Philippines
5	14 Oct 2015 00:00	185	---	2.2 million	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	13 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	15.6, 143.1
2	13 Oct 2015 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, 140.1
3	13 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.8, 139
4	13 Oct 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.7, 137.8
5	14 Oct 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.6, 136.1
5	14 Oct 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	15.5, 133.4
5	15 Oct 2015 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	15.6, 131
5	15 Oct 2015 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	15.8, 129
5	16 Oct 2015 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	94000 people	16.1, 127.1	Philippines
5	17 Oct 2015 00:00	Category 3	185	1.8 million people	7.6 million people	16.7, 124.2	Philippines
5	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Category 2	176	2.2 million people	7.6 million people	17.7, 122	Philippines
5	19 Oct 2015 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	18.7, 120.9	Philippines

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Philippines	Cagayan Valley
Philippines	Cordillera Administrative Region
Philippines	Ilocos

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Tuguegarao	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	110000 people
Cabagan	Cagayan Valley	Philippines	City	25000 people
Bacarra	Ilocos	Philippines	City	9600 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Palanan		50	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Tuguegarao	TUG	21	Civ.	Paved	No	5900
Taggat		5

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Aparri	PHAPR	Philippines
Dirique Inlet		Philippines
Abulog		Philippines
Palanan		Philippines
Claveria		Philippines

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Punta, Philippines. This height is estimated for 18 Oct 2015 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (94 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 14 Oct 2015 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Punta	Philippines	0.5
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Alilinu	Philippines	0.5
	17 Oct 2015 18:00	Divilican	Philippines	0.4
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Balza	Philippines	0.4
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Bisagu	Philippines	0.4
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Aparri	Philippines	0.4
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Linao	Philippines	0.4
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Buguey	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 17:00	Lapusan	Philippines	0.3
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Gonzaga	Philippines	0.3
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Catuguran	Philippines	0.3
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	San Vincente	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Cabuluan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Bawa	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 21:00	Cabiraoan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Naguilian	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Abulug	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Casiguran	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Pasaruboy	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Alacan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Fugu	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Bateng	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	San Juan	Philippines	0.2
	17 Oct 2015 20:00	Casambalangan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Bugallon	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Bangan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Taccuen	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Canaoalan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Carael	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Dagupan	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Manila	Philippines	0.2
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Baloboc	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Binmale	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Meycauayan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Tinajeros	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Caloocan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 08:00	Wright	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 07:00	Pequit	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 07:00	Pabanong	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 07:00	Hinabangan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Dinipan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Patro	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Lobit	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Calay-ab	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Magsingal	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Guisit	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Cabugao	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Badoc	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 16:00	Dinapigui	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Pamarauan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Poso	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Casiguran B	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	San Benigno	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Pasuquin	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Maniboc	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Aringay	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Namuac	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 07:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Caba	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	San Cornelio	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Talatal	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Lingayen	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Labangan	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 23:00	Damaloguen	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Agoo	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Binakayan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Cavite	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Cadagatan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 08:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 08:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Binacud	Philippines	0.1
	17 Oct 2015 16:00	Diniyog	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Tondol	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Panasgasan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Nabaul	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Capantolan	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Mangas	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Imus	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Minabul	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Portugal	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Kilkiling	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Claveria	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Santiago	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Batitgao	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Sorongan	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 12:00	Bagas	Philippines	0.1
	16 Oct 2015 12:00	Bikal	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Amaya	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Tehero	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Battog	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Bangui	Philippines	0.1
	18 Oct 2015 00:00	Tangatong	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.